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Managing Emerging Risk Kevin D. Burton 978143982641
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Managing Emerging Risk


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Providing ideas, tools, and a new way of thinking, this important guide introduces the concept of emerging risk and the effective mitigation of and response to unforeseen events. It describes new types of risks, their identification, and their implications for mass casualty and damage. Encouraging cooperation among services, it proposes response actions with regard to identification, mitigation, messaging, crisis communications, planning, and preparedness. It explains techniques for modeling new risks and threat outlooks, methods for calculating and creating strategy and tactics, and guidelines for conducting ongoing risk assessments.

Indice

Imagine This About the Scenarios The Phoenix Rave Massacre The Saint Louis Earthquake Scenario Going Green, Ecoterrorist, and a First Strike Advantage The Narco-Jihad Strike The New Face of Risk and the Market State Overview: The New Face of Risk and the Market State The History of Preparedness Today's Emergency Management Stakeholders The First Event Scenario and Disaster Halo Effect The Rise of the Market State Emergency Management and the Market State Scenario Planning, Strategy, and Risk Assessments for an Unknown Future Overview: The Market State Introduces a New Set of Scenarios Poor Scenario Planning as the Root Cause of Poor Emergency Response Scenario Planning and The First Event Various Schools of Thought for Scenario Planning The Importance of Strategy, Limitations, and Latitudes The Location-Based Risk Assessment Sources of Data for First Event Scenarios Overview: Sources for Valid First Event Scenarios and Location-Based Risk Assessments The New Madrid Fault-A First Event Scenario? U.S. Data Sources for First Event Scenarios and Location-Based Risk Assessments What Computers Can, and Cannot, Tell Us User Bias and Power Users Classified Means Not Actionable: If Not Shared Among the Right Agencies Probability, Possibility, and Risk All Source Analysis and Storytelling Tracking Memes: Data Trends and the Diffusion of Innovation What is a Meme? Memes in Action: The Beslan Massacre Complex Systems: Why Rich Data Sets and Novelty Require Trending and Memes Mastering Memes Terrorists and Memes: Complex Systems and the 15% Rule Fusion Centers Do Not Make Memes: Fusion People Do Mastering Memes: A Method for All-Source Analysis Grouping Ideas, Tactics, and Ideologies: Categorizing Memes to Tell the Story Grouping With Visualization Coolhunters and Pattern Recognition From Dots and Patterns to Believable Stories Coolhunters and Early Adopters Pattern Recognition--The Pros in Action In Real Life: The Boxing Day Tsunami and Haiti Putting the Market State to Use, Application, Practice, and Understanding Amplifying Pattern Recognition Link and Thin Slice Areas of Dominant Influence (ADI) and Emerging Markets Copycats, Reverse Engineering, Swarm Effects, and Kiddie Tactics New Risk, Reasoned A New World, New Risks Tracking Memes: Data Trends and the Diffusion of Innovation Translating Memes and Diffusion Stakeholders in Diffusion The Show and Tell of Diffusion Telling the Story Engaging in a New State of Practice Overview: The New Face of Emergency Management Practitioners The Emergency Management Lifestyle The Personal Traits and Characteristics of Tomorrow's Emergency Manager Brand of Self The New Professional Practices of the Market State World Index

L'Autore

Since 1996, Kevin Burton has been a thought-leader and skilled practitioner of the business continuity and disaster recovery disciplines. His approach to workflow analysis, design, development, implementation, and evaluation of business and IT work processes have been a key to his success. After five years of extensive study in the fields of counterterrorism and emergency management, he now travels the globe in support of a large multinational organization's emergency management planning effort. His work includes the creation of literally thousands of disaster recovery and business continuity plans and hundreds of on-site counterterrorism risk assessments, business impact analyses and global risk briefings for some of America's largest organizations.


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